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Economy Newsletter
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Dance of Democracy: Highest ever voter turnout in most places
Jharkhands turnout stood at 58.30. Uttar Pradesh's first phase polling in ten constituencies saw over 64% turnout. Madhya Pradesh saw an average 56.60% turnout in the nine constituencies that went to polls on Thursday. The polling in Maharashtras constituencies was lesser than expected ranging between 62-68%. Jammu-Poonch parliamentary constituency on Thursday recorded 68% polling. In Bihar the turnout was over 50% on an average. Haryana saw healthy voter turnout of over 73%. Union Territory Chandigarh created a record of highest ever poll percentage of nearly 74%. Chandigarh. The voting for the two parliamentary seats in Goa would be held on Saturday. Tripura's second Lok Sabha seat will see polling on Saturday too. High voter turnout in western Uttar Pradesh Lok Sabha Elections: Mizoram votes Lok Sabha Elections: Final Arunachal turnout figures today Lok Sabha Elections: Priyanka to campaign in Rae Bareli, Amethi February IIP at -1.9%
To ensure stable growth, global rules of the game need to be revisited: RBI
Below are the excerpts of Dr Raghuram Rajan, Governor, RBI's speech: Central bankers are usually reluctant to air their concerns in public. But because the needed change has political elements to it, I take my cue from speeches by two central bankers whom I respect greatly, Ben Bernanke in his 2005 "Global Savings Glut" speech, and Jaime Caruana in his 2012 speech at Jackson Hole, both of whom have raised similar concerns to mine, although from different perspectives...Read More RBI proposes global crisis 'safety net' RBI releases Draft Report on Working Group on Pricing of Credit Banks to follow norms on sale / purchase of realty abroad: RBI RBI shifts to CPI-based Real Effective Exchange Rate NBFCs must deduct investments made in group entities: RBI RBI revises booking of forward contracts norms FM rejects RBI's proposal to restructure CMD's post in PSBs RBI to issue Rs. 10 with inset letter 'A' in numbering panel India's real GDP growth is projected to strengthen: IMF
Govts must press ahead with spending reform: IMF Emerging market economies have stronger fiscal positions: IMF Real interest rates now close to zero; set to rise only moderately: IMF Domestic car sales down 5% in March: SIAM
March trade data: March trade deficit at $10.5bn
Job Rejection! A no is not the end!
As a recruiter, its these two sentences by Acton that have really caught my attention in the entire WhatsApp sold to FB" saga. If only our candidates reacted so positively when informed that they were not considered a suitable fit in the companies we had helped them contact for job change. While the more positive ones shrug and move on with a "Its their loss if they are not hiring a talent I was doing good in my current company and another new company has recognized my talent," more often than not Im faced with reactions like "How is that possible? I had an hour long interview with the CEO? Was I being led along for the last 6 months only to be rejected now?" Oh yes, I have had one of these too. Worse, he insisted on speaking directly to the MD about his rejection, only to earn himself a black mark...Read More Why You should NOT pursue your 'Dream Home'
India Inc poised for the change; hiring up by 3%: RecruiteX
Petrochemicals & Project/Infrastructure lead The Project/Infrastructure sector emerged as the top employment generator in March 14 with a 12% rise in demand, the Petrochemicals industry reported a 9% rise. As anticipated by industry experts in the bi-annual RecruiteX report, Petrochemicals and Project/Infrastructure were the first two major industries to show signs of revival in a struggling economy. While both these industries started the year on a somber note, witnessing negative hiring sentiments during January 14, things started looking up from February. Other significant changes were:
Indias Economic Confidence upbeat: Ipsos Study
40% foodgrain stored unprofessionally: Assocham
Growing at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of about nine per cent, the market size of warehouse was over Rs 22,800 crore in FY 11 which is expected to cross Rs 35,000 crore mark in FY 16 and only 12 per cent in this accounts for agro while the remaining is industrial warehousing. While the warehousing space clocking a CAGR of about four per cent and which was about 1.52 billion square feet in FY 11 is expected to grow to 1.84 billion square feet till FY 16 and only 29 per cent of this accounts for agro while the remaining for industrial warehousing. "India needs to recalibrate its strategy to mitigate the challenges of high food grain wastage due to lack of scientific storage facilities and high inflation due to lack of cold chain infrastructure like cold storages and refrigerated transport as it leads to wastages in fruit and vegetables," suggested the ASSOCHAM-Yes Bank study...Read More Indian Construction Sector will remain under stress up to Sept 2014: ICRA Project execution challenges are expected to persist and the revenue growth rates of Indian construction companies could continue to remain muted for at least up to September 2014 on the back of poor performance of companies in infrastructure sub-sectors like Roads, Airports and Power, which have not been able to achieve their set business targets, according to ICRA, a leading ratings agency. Inordinate delay in environmental clearances, high ticket land acquisition costs and increased due diligence by Lenders as also sector-specific issues like mine development permissions, fuel supply shortages, precarious financial health of distribution utilities in case of power sector, security clearances and tariff-related impediments for port sector and dwindling interest from private sector participants coupled with increasing difficulties in achieving financial closure for road sector have put Indian Construction Sector in a tight spot, ICRA has said. In fact, companies in the construction / infrastructure sectors form the highest proportion of CDR cases approved in FY13 /H1FY14...Read More Foreign Tourist Arrivals up of 4.5% in March 2014 over March 2013 Foreign Tourist Arrivals (FTAs) in March, 2014 was 6.69 lakh which was 6.40 lakh in March, 2013 with a growth of 4.5%. Foreign Exchange Earnings (FEEs) from tourism in Rupees terms in March, 2014 were Rs. 10,257 crore in comparison to Rs. 9,553 crore in March, 2013. The following are some important highlights regarding FTAs and FEEs from tourism during the month of February, 2014: Foreign Tourist Arrivals (FTAs):
Naukri Hiring Outlook Survey reveals upswing in hiring activity in 2014 Buoyancy in hiring activity was the sentiment that emerged from the Naukri Hiring Outlook survey 2014 a half yearly survey which gauges the hiring sentiments of companies and covers a plethora of sectors. The survey was conducted amongst 800 plus recruiters. Approximately 64% of the recruiters who were surveyed indicated the creation of new jobs this year. This represents a more positive outlook in comparison to July 2013 when only 54% recruiters signaled the creation of new jobs. In contrast, replacement hiring is likely to contribute less to the overall hiring with only 30% recruiters expected to engage in it in 2014 versus 54% recruiters who anticipated the need for replacement hiring in second half of 2013. Layoffs too, are also expected to decrease with only 2% recruiters anticipating them in first half of 2014 as compared to 5% recruiters who suspected layoffs in the second half of 2013...Read More Govt defends decision to increase gas price The government has defended its decision to nearly double natural gas prices and urged the Supreme Court to refrain from interfering in the process, says report. Report says that the government told the court that its tussle with RIL over the production-sharing contract over the KG basin gas fields was not a "friendly fight". The government had penalised RIL, blaming for the fall in gas output from controversial KGD6 block. The company said output dropped because of geological surprises. Will Indian healthcare manifesto up its "HEP"ness quotient? Deemed as one of the biggest general elections of the Indian political history, all major political parties are trying to instill hope and come up with creative manifestoes addressing the increasing inflation, law and order situation and corruption to name a few. Amid the cacophony of many a social and economic policy changes, has healthcare made the cut? Specially considering the catastrophic viral hepatitis that is silently but consistently edging towards the nation? The global policy report on prevention and control of viral hepatitis 2013 by the WHO reflects that five million hepatitis-related deaths could occur in South East Asia alone, in the coming decade. With approximately 100 million hepatitis B and 30 million hepatitis C patients in this region about three-fourth are unaware of their hepatitis status owing to the silent nature of the disease and lack of surveillance. Greater than 50 per cent of the global burden of hepatitis E is from South East Asia alone. The number of chronic hepatitis B carriers in India alone was estimated to be around 40 million in 2006, which increased from 36 million reported in 1996.Additionally, the WHO has noted that India neither has any national policy nor established any goal to eliminate the viral hepatitis...Read More Office space absorption in Q1 2014 drops by nearly 5% over Q1 2013: CBRE India Office space demand slowed down in the first quarter of 2014, with around 6.3 million sq. ft. of office space getting absorbed across the leading cities of the country as against 6.6 million sq. ft. in Q1 2013a drop of approximately 5%. Transaction activity was dominated by the National Capital Region (NCR), Bangalore and Chennairepresenting about 70% of the total space transacted during the quarter. The IT/ITeS, financial and services segments continued to drive demand for office space, according to the findings of CBREs latest report, India Office MarketView Q1 2014. New office space supply in the leading cities was also affected due to existing vacancy levels and lower demand. About 6.6 million sq. ft. of fresh office space was completed in Q1 2014, compared to about 10 million sq. ft. in Q1 2013a y-o-y decline of about 34%. Bangalore led project completions, followed by Delhi NCR and Mumbaitogether contributing to more than 80% of the total office space addition in the quarter under review...Read More Total fresh mall supply projected to be approximately 14msf by end of 2014:C&W JLL: Retail Real Estate Awaiting An Upswing Over the last 6-8 quarters, the retail sector in India has been subject to immense pressures from a slowing economy, stagnancy in jobs and incomes, and lack of stimulus from government policies. More recently, Indias quarterly GDP consistently fell short of the 5.0% y/y growth mark, which was the average growth recorded for the last financial year FY2012-13. For FY2013-14, the economic growth rate is expected to come in at less than that observed in the previous year. Private consumption expenditure, which is a critical component accounting for over 60% of Indias GDP, saw a growth slump, recording not more than 3.0% y/y growth in the recent four quarters. Lack of confidence among the consuming class due to compromised job prospects and income growth has led a rising proportion of income going towards secure savings rather than consumption spending. High inflation and borrowing rates further derailed hopes of an early recovery. Moderated consumption spending and high inflation has had a direct impact on the retail sector, whose growth momentum has been falling sharply...Read More
International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde said on Thursday that the world economy is growing but still needs help. "Our overall message: the global economy is turning the corner, but the recovery is still too weak and too slow," she said at a news conference in Washington. On Tuesday, the IMF released its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) report, which forecast global growth to average 3.6 percent this year, and 3.9 percent in 2015. That is up from 3 percent in 2013. In her briefing Thursday, Lagarde said the global economy needs "bold action," stressing that countries need to work together to avoid years of slow or sub-par growth. She noted concerns "in advanced economies in general in the euro area in particular" that prolonged low inflation would hurt growth and jobs. But she voiced optimism that European leaders will take action...Read More Ending poverty requires more than growth: World Bank While economic growth remains vital for reducing poverty, growth has its limits, according to a new World Bank paper released today. Countries need to complement efforts to enhance growth with policies that allocate more resources to the extreme poor. These resources can be distributed through the growth process itself, by promoting more inclusive growth, or through government programs, such as conditional and direct cash transfers. In addition, the paper notes, it is imperative not just to lift people out of extreme poverty; it is also important to make sure that, in the long run, they do not get stuck just above the extreme poverty line due to a lack of opportunities that might impede progress toward better livelihoods...Read More Cities have always been engines of growth and development: PwC Cities worldwide face the challenge of growing economically while balancing the social and environmental side of the city to remain sustainable in the future. To succeed, they need urban projects that have a clear vision and goals, are well managed and involve a broad range of parties working together effectively. This is one of the findings of a new report produced by the European Institute for Comparative Urban Research (Euricur), PwC and the Institute for Housing and Urban Development Studies. The analyses 24 urban projects in Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China, Ethiopia, Finland, Germany, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Qatar, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, the UK, United Arab Emirates and the US. It looks at how cities can achieve good growth while nurturing sustainable competitiveness; how they can keep growing and developing over time while fostering social cohesion and environmental quality...Read More European banking credit shortfall to last at least five years: PwC China March exports tumble 6.6% Chinas exports and imports unexpectedly fell in March. The country's exports fell 6.6% in March from the year-ago period, official data showed on Thursday. The country exports fell 18.1% in February from a year earlier. Imports fell 11.3% in March from the year-ago period, while if had risen 10.1% in February. China reported a trade surplus of $7.7 billion for the month of March, the Customs Administration said in Beijing. The country's exports would likely fare better in the second quarter as external demand improves and remains optimistic about achieving this year's 7.5% trade growth target. Stronger Laws for Unruly Passengers: IATA The International Air Transport Association (IATA) is calling on governments to ratify important changes to the Tokyo Convention 1963 which were agreed at a diplomatic conference in Montreal last week. The Tokyo Convention provides the legal framework for dealing with passengers whose unruly or disruptive behavior leads to physical assault or poses a threat to the safety of a flight. Some 100 governments attended the diplomatic conference that agreed the changes, which will come into force when 22 states ratifythe protocol to the Tokyo Convention. The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) has driven the process through from initial proposal to a new treaty in five years, a relatively short length of time for a new protocol to be agreed. By extending the jurisdiction from the country of aircraft registration to the destination country, the protocol closes a loophole which allowed many serious offences to escape legal action. The agreed changes give greater clarity to the definition of unruly behavior (such as including the threat of or actual physical assault, or refusal to follow safety-related instructions). There are also new provisions to deal with the recovery of significant costs arising from unruly behavior...Read More Support Gulf success with Regional Cooperation and Global Standards: IATA Bank of England keeps QE programme steady at £375bn The Bank of England today kept key interest rate unchanged at 0.5%. The Bank also kept the size of its quantitative easing (QE) programme unchanged at £375bn. Earlier this week, the International Monetary Fund said the UK economy would be the fastest-growing in the G7 this year. It predicted the UK economy would grow by 2.9% in 2014, up from its previous estimate of 2.4%, and will see growth of 2.5% next year. Global Finance names Worlds Best Islamic Financial Institutions 2014 Global Finance magazine has announced its seventh annual awards for the Worlds Best Islamic Financial Institutions. A full report on the selections will appear in the June issue of Global Finance. The winners of this years awards are those banks that contributed to the growth of Islamic financing and successfully met their customers needs for Shariah-compliant products, while creating the foundation for continued growth and safety in the future, with modern and efficient delivery channels. All selections were made by the editorial team of Global Finance, after extensive consultations with bankers, corporate finance executives and analysts throughout the world. In selecting these top banks, we considered factors that range from the quantitative objective to the informed subjective. Quantitative criteria included growth in assets, profitability, geographic reach, strategic relationships, new business development and innovation in products. Among the subjective criteria considered were reputation, customer satisfaction, and the opinions of analysts and others involved in the industry. The mix of these factors yields leading banks that may not be the largest, oldest or the most diversified in a given country, region or product, but rather the bestthe banks with which customers around the world would most likely want to do business...Read More 18 biggest banks boosted top-tier capital levels: Fed Scott Alvarez, the Fed's general counsel, told a congressional panel on Tuesday that the 18 biggest banks have already boosted top-tier capital levels by more than $500 billion since 2008. He did not break down the total to show how much the top eight banks increased their capital. Last month, the Federal Reserve published the results of its annual stress tests, which demonstrated that the largest banking institutions in the United States are collectively much better positioned to continue to lend to households and businesses and to meet their financial commitments in a severe economic downturn than they were five years ago. The stress tests this year were the fourth round led by the Federal Reserve since 2009. This year, in addition to the 18 institutions that have been part of previous stress tests, an additional 12 firms with assets greater than $50 billion were included. Digital Businesses Will spot Opportunities in a Matter of Seconds: Gartner The hallmark of a digital business will be the ability to spot opportunities that might span a matter of just seconds, according to Gartner, Inc. Gartner introduced the concept of a "business moment" a transient opportunity that is exploited dynamically in 2013 and expects these moments to occur more and more frequently as enterprises migrate from today's world to the digital business world. Digital business is the creation of new business designs by blurring the digital and physical worlds. It promises to usher in an unprecedented convergence of people, business and things that disrupts existing business models, even those born of the Internet and e-business eras. Gartner predicts that by 2020, more than seven billion people and businesses, and at least 30 billion devices, will be connected to the Internet. With people, businesses and things communicating, transacting and even negotiating with each other, a new world comes into being the world of digital business...Read More Worldwide PC Shipments declined 1.7% in Q1 2014: Gartner What's Next for China's Housing Market: Moody's China's housing market is a perennial puzzle to outsiders, raising fears about price bubbles even as it reflects the country's dramatic social and economic transformation. Recent data present a mixed picture of its state. Fundamental indicators such as price-to-income or price-to-rent ratios remain high. Anecdotes of excess inventory and "ghost cities" with blocks of uninhabited apartments abound, and China's second-ever bond default, by Zhejiang Xingrun Real Estate Co. in March, is also fueling uncertainty about flagging demand for apartments. On the other hand, supply shortages in major cities such as Shanghai and Beijing are driving prices higher. Authorities are pushing ahead with plans to further transform the country through continued urbanisation, which would see another 100 million people moving into China's cities by 2020. The government spent CNY1.12 trillion (US$180 billion) on redeveloping shantytowns in 2013, and has announced a similar spending target for 2014. This article provides a brief overview of China's housing market. Demand is cooling on a macro level, especially in smaller cities, mostly as a result of the government's tightening stance. The government continues to prioritize urbanisation, although the methods will have to change...Read More
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Krishna Bodanapu, President and COO, Infotech Enterprises Mario Draghi, President, European Central Bank Prakash Bedapudi, Chief Technology Officer, Lennox International Inc Dr Raghuram Rajan, Governor, Reserve Bank of India J.C. Sharma, Vice Chairman and MD, Sobha Developers Ltd V Balasubramanian, Head-Equity & Fund Manager Equity &
Gold, IDBI Asset Management Ltd Shreekant P Shastry, Vice President - Business & EA to CMD,
Ozonegroup Mark Spicer, GM, ICLP India Raghav Mantri, Managing Director, Indian Educational Services Rahul Shah, Executive Director, Nitin Fire Protection Industries Mohit Goel, CEO, Omaxe Limited Ved Prakash Mahendru, CMD, Eon Electric Ltd. Pankaj Bansal, Co-Founder and CEO, PeopleStrong HR Services Naveen Surya, Managing Director, ItzCash Card Limited V Venkatramani, Chief Financial Officer, Greenply Industries Limited Dr. Rajiv I. Modi, CMD, Cadila Pharmaceuticals Sanjay Singh, Chief Executive Officer, hCentive Shyamsundar Bang, ED - Manufacturing & Supply Chain, Jubilant Life
Sciences Hari Prakash Pandey, VP-Finance, HDIL Tulsi Tanti, Chairman, Suzlon Group Dinesh Verma, Head Product Management - Global Transaction Banking,
Nucleus Software Ashwini Kumar, Executive Director and COO, Nitesh Estates Ltd MP Taparia, Managing Director, Supreme Industries Rajiv Kumar, CEO and Founder, Manusis Technologies Vinay Sanghi, Promoter & CEO, MXC Solutions Pvt. Ltd Taranviir S. Kaur, Country Head, Imperial Servcorp Rajesh Subramaniam, MD and CEO, Firstsource Solutions Arun Mehra, CEO, Talenthouse India R Ramanan, MD & CEO, CMC Ltd Vikram Ramchand, Founder, makemyreturns.com Seshagiri Rao MVS, Jt. Managing Director & Group CFO, JSW Steel Sujay Kalele, CEO, Kolte Patil Developers Ltd Pirojsha Godrej, Managing Director & CEO, Godrej Properties Jimmy Patel, CEO, Quantum Asset Management Ashok Gupta, Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes Agriculture Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Automobile Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Aviation Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Banking Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Consumer and Goods Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Economy Round Up March 31 to April 04, 2014 FLAME Newsletter - April 09, 2014 Hotel & Tourism Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Infrastructure Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Insurance Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 IT Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Metal & Mining Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Merger and Acquisition Round Up March 31 to April 04, 2014 Mutual Funds Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Oil & Gas Round Up March 31 to April 04, 2014 Pharmaceuticals Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Real Estate Round Up March 31 to April 04, 2014 Retail Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Telecom Newsletter March 31 to April 04, 2014 Articles What is debt-to-income ratio? How does it affect my home loan? Why registration of immovable property is important? Four mistakes you must avoid as a home buyer Credit score V/s Credit report Do's and Donts for Credit Cards Be wary of settlements, this can impact your CIBIL score Insurance: How to make application under RTI Act What is home loan sanction letter? Create an effective emergency fund First-time homebuyer? What to look out for? Six Debt mistakes never to make Top six home loan shopping mistakes to avoid! An anecdote on the Importance of Retirement Planning Five red flags that could lead to a drop in CIBIL Credit Scores How to manage your credit card debt smartly! How to prepare a Will Is a top up loan right for you? Looking to buy a second home? Low credit score would hurt you? Section 80G: Deduction to certain fund, charitable institutions RFC A/c: What is resident foreign currency account? How to prevent credit card thefts? How to calculate value of a right Some New Year resolutions to help you improve your finances Will mutiple loans affect my CIBIL Credit Rating? Demystifying your CIBIL score? Tax: Inter-source adjustments vs inter-head adjustments
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